New forecasts show that many of the fastest-growing jobs over the next decade could accelerate the labor-market polarization that has bred deep anxieties over the state of the U.S. economy.
The Labor Department’s recent release of biennial job market forecasts shows that the fastest-growing jobs tend to favor workers with more education, workers in jobs dominated by women and workers in urban areas, according to analyses by Jed Kolko, an economist based in San Francisco.
The projections pull back the curtain on a potentially unsettling future for many workers who have already felt upward mobility slipping away in an economy that has grown more polarized in recent decades along educational lines. If the forecasts are right, they suggest the political upheaval that has swept both U.S. political parties—but particularly the anti-establishment fervor in the Republican Party—may be less fleeting than in past election cycles.
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